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If
there’s anyone out there looking to employ a transport consultant, come
along to the Public Inquiry at Brighton Town Hall. There are four of them
on display and they are all auditioning.
We’ve already heard from Mark Leigh, performing for the Albion. He was
impressive first time round. So much so, that he might be allowed a second
appearance next week. Tony Harrison, who will appear for Lewes District
Council, is indisposed at the moment. He won’t be appearing until next
month.
There’s a Mr Ellis, who supports the owners of Toads Hole Valley. He
gets his turn next Tuesday. But today it was a resumption of the
performance by Mike Mogridge, the City Council’s man, who we first met
last Thursday.
He spent most of the day being cross-examined by Robert White, the lawyer
for Lewes District Council. Once again, we heard lots of numbers. There
were estimates of how many people live within walking distance of various
potential stadium sites. There was discussion about the difference between
‘crow fly distances’ and ‘road walk distances’. There was an
argument about how many bus routes went to Sheepcote Valley (and whether
Roedean Road counted as going to Sheepcote Valley or just going near
Sheepcote Valley).
There were lists of bus routes, read out so fast that even some of the
lawyers couldn’t keep up, and then a debate about whether bus service 57
counted at all, since it only runs on Sundays.
What did we learn? Firstly that not all transport consultants use quite
the same methods to analyse data. Secondly, that they won’t actually
disagree with their fellow professionals. And, thirdly, that none of the
detail seems to have much to do with how people really travel.
Example – however many people live within cycling distance of a football
stadium (and we have information about ten different venues), it makes not
much difference, because not many people cycle to football matches.
So? The point gradually became clear. The consultants are debating
something called ‘accessibility’. This is nothing to do with real
people travelling.
Accessibility is transport consultants’ jargon for what estate agents
call ‘Location, Location, Location’. A stadium site is ‘accessible
by sustainable means of transport’ if some people live near enough to
walk, some people live near enough to cycle (even if they won’t) and
some people live near enough to a bus or rail service that goes near
enough to make it likely (or possible) that they might use public
transport on matchdays.
Real people travelling is something else. They will sometimes use buses.
But only if there is ‘spare capacity’. Or, to translate from the
jargon, if there’s a seat on the bus. Sometimes they will walk a bit –
maybe when they get off the bus at Churchill Square, they will walk up
Queens Road to the Station and catch a train. Or maybe they’ll catch a
different bus at Churchill Square.
We don’t really know what they’ll do, to tell the truth, because this
is ‘transport modelling’ and different transport consultants do that
bit differently. To give just one example, Mr Mogridge assured us that
using population figures and ‘ward centroids’ resulted in ‘lumpy
data’.
So there you have it. It all sounds so confusing. Real people, sitting in
the public gallery, seemed to be muttering among themselves that the
important bit was how real people like us might actually travel. But we
all had a sneaking suspicion that the lawyers and the planning experts
were more interested in accessibility analysis and Planning Policy
Guidance and Supplementary Planning Guidance. And unlumpy data.
At the end of the day, all of our transport consultants will have had
plenty of opportunities to answer the question that Mr White must have
asked a dozen times. ‘So, how would you advise the Secretary of
State?’
It will be some weeks before we find out who the Secretary of State is
most impressed with. In the meantime, my advice is that if there really is
someone out there who wants to employ a transport consultant, you might
consider the alternative of just talking to real people who make real
journeys.
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